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Trade-offs, frontier, and sensitivity

Test whether the selected set is stable when capacity or policy weights change, while preserving bounded-analysis labels.

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Trade-offs, frontier, and sensitivity

The capacity frontier compares bounded capacity-multiplier cases and marks dominated modeled points: another modeled point uses no more aggregate capacity while producing at least as much modeled score. It is an exploratory view, not a complete mathematical Pareto frontier and not proof that unmodeled portfolios are dominated. Aggregate capacity combines cells for presentation; operational decisions still require unit-by-unit inspection.

Weight sensitivity varies the declared strategic-alignment, value, risk, and confidence policy and reports which initiatives enter or leave and how stable the selected set remains. It tests model dependence on those weights, not all uncertainty. Capacity estimates, demand, benefit, cost, interaction strength, eligibility, and category rules may need separate scenarios or specialist analysis.

Focus review on switch points and brittle selections. Ask whether a small defensible input change alters the portfolio, whether a protected initiative drives the result, and whether the model omits a consequential constraint. Sensitivity does not repair weak evidence; it shows where better evidence or a policy decision matters most.

Next: validation, review, AI, and reporting.

References

Solving a comprehensive model for multiobjective project portfolio selection

Research on multiobjective project-portfolio selection with multiple periods, resource constraints, and project interdependence.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cor.2009.06.012

Resource-constrained multi-objective project portfolio selection and scheduling

Research illustrating the importance of explicit objectives, resource limits, timing, and sustainability assumptions in portfolio models.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.122073